The Real Cuba News and Commentary

Official: in Cuba the private sector's mission should not be to make money, but to 'support the Revolution'

Although he acknowledges that 'the offensive' against the sector has not yielded the expected results, Díaz-Canel stressed what has been achieved at the cost of Cubans' further impoverishment.


If at this point anyone harbored any doubts that the Cuban regime has only allowed the limited existence of a private sector on the island insofar as it serves its primary objective, to remain in power, Miguel Díaz-Canel dispelled them this Friday, criticizing that this sector seeks to enrich itself rather than "support the Revolution" in remarks at the Communist Party of Cuba (PCC) Central Committee's 9th Plenary Session.

"As long as there is confusion about the relationships that must exist between the State and the non-State sectors, and the role of each in the economy, we are going to stumble, with misunderstandings, deformations, and corruption, illegality, and not in a constructive environment," said the president, according to the regime's Cubadebate portal.

According to the Cuban leader, it is necessary to ensure that "at the territorial, municipal and national levels, that sector must be aligned with the Economic Plan, so that it is really participating in our economic and social development strategies, from the locality to the nation, as otherwise everything will be nothing but empty discourse."

"Today they produce goods, provide services, and engage in exporting and importing, but if they do so however they like, without conforming to the plans, without paying taxes to support development needs, then everything is empty discourse that we end up never realizing," he lamented.

"If we are not able to fix that, we will have a non-State sector that's not with the Revolution, that's not contributing to the Revolution, that's thinking only of itself and not of everyone, and that is ideological," the state media source quoted the first secretary of the PCC as saying.

"It is up to us, as a Party, to organize that by ensuring that all state institutions fulfill the functions that they must, thereby shifting from diagnosis to the necessary ordering and control actions," he said.

At another point in his speech, Díaz-Canel admitted that the offensive carried out against the private sector, and also against the State one, has not yielded the results the Government expected. Despite this, he pointed to the few achievements that the economic package, announced in December 2023 to "correct distortions," has yielded so far an initiative that does not work, according to Prime Minister Manuel Marrero Cruz at the PCC Central Committee's Plenary Session.

"The offensive we have carried out is to organize what was disorganized, in both the State and non-State sectors. Although its results are still not what they should have been, in a few months it has had an impact on controlling tax evasion, on the Budget, on the ordering of relationships, and on the group work of these entities, as well as including closure of some businesses that were totally illegal," Cubadebate quoted him as saying.

At the beginning of December, despite the widespread crisis that Cuba is suffering, the Government boasted that there were "signs of an ordering of macroeconomic issues," which it attributed to the aforementioned shock plan, termed "Government Projections to Correct Distortions and Boost the Economy in 2024."

At a meeting of the Council of Ministers to evaluate the plan Minister of the Economy and Planning Joaquín Alonso Vázquez referred to "several indicators whose results ratify the complexities that the country is currently facing, such as imports of goods, foreign exchange earnings from exports, energy carriers, and the transportation of cargo and passengers."

However, according to the minister, "there continue to be signs of an ordering of macroeconomic issues" such as "the trend towards a decrease in inflation, both in the monthly index and the year-on-year one, as well as a reduction in the fiscal deficit, the results of the current account, and monetary circulation indicators, which are gradually progressing towards the expected results."

On his X account Cuban economist Pedro Monreal, however, pointed out that "by announcing supposed 'signs of an ordering of macroeconomic issues', the Cuban Ministry of the Economy is distorting the reality:  expected economic contraction in 2024, plus year-on-year inflation probably between 25-30%, which indicates stagflation."

According to the analyst, by reporting a notable reduction in the budget deficit without offering concrete data on expenses and income, Cuba's Finance Ministry evaded analysis of what seems to be the application of a harsh fiscal austerity policy.


"Going from an initial fiscal deficit forecast of 147 billion pesos in 2024 to a result of 29.7 billion at the end of October, could only have been achieved —in a scenario of economic contraction— with an acute reduction in expenses," Monreal wrote.

During the same Plenary Session Jorge Luis Broche Lorenzo, a member of the Secretariat of the Party's Central Committee and head of its Department of Attention to the Social Sector, complained of "the lack of correspondence between the levels of contribution to the private sector budget in relation to its growth dynamics."

In a recent analysis DIARIO DE CUBA showed that Cuba has one of the highest tax burdens on the planet, which, increasingly, weighs on the non-State sector. At the same time, although, in principle, the revenue collected is used to meet social needs and services and finance public policies, in 2024 Cubans have seen a decline in all the services they receive: transportation is disastrous, garbage fills cities, blackouts and drinking water shortages plague the population, while the number of people in poverty is on the rise.

Cuba predicts 1% growth in 2025 after dismal year and a failing system.

  • Cuba's economy expected to grow only 1% in 2025
  • Economy hit by U.S. sanctions, COVID-19, and energy crisis
  • Export earnings fell $900 million, imports 18% below forecast
Havana, Cuba May 16, 2017

Cuban Economy Minister Joaquín Alonso Vázquez on Monday forecast the Caribbean island's economy would grow only 1% in 2025 after a dismal year marked by one of the country's worst energy crisis in decades.

The minister, speaking to a closed-door session of a parliament commission, did not provide an estimate for Gross Domestic Product (GDP) this year, though recent hints by officials suggest it may have contracted again after falling 1.9% in 2023.

The Communist-run country blames U.S. sanctions and a lingering hangover from the COVID-19 pandemic for a depression that has left large swaths of the population and economy facing daily power outages, double-digit inflation and shortages of basic goods, water and fuel.

Cuba initially forecast 2% growth this year after a decline of nearly 12% since 2019, but the crisis deepened month-by-month in 2024 as daily power outages across much of the country often span for 12 or more hours.The Communist-run country blames U.S. sanctions and a lingering hangover from the COVID-19 pandemic for a depression that has left large swaths of the population and economy facing daily power outages, double-digit inflation and shortages of basic goods, water and fuel.

Cuba initially forecast 2% growth this year after a decline of nearly 12% since 2019, but the crisis deepened month-by-month in 2024 as daily power outages across much of the country often span for 12 or more hours.

"This year was so serious … the power outages have created a critical situation where industry is paralyzed," Cuban economist Omar Everleny said.

Everleny said he estimated the growth would plunge 4% this year, on top of last year's dismal near 2 percent contraction.

Communist Cuba's economy minister said export earnings fell $900 million, 10% short of the government's plans, while imports were 18% less than forecast. Agriculture, tourism, steel and sugar production all performed well short of expectations.

The National Statistics Office reported freight traffic, key indicator of economic activity, was down 18% through September, compared with a similar period last year.

Cuba runs short on fuel at pump as energy crisis festers


HAVANA, Dec 13 (Reuters) - Cubans still reeling from months of hours-long blackouts now have a new problem on their hands: fuel shortages.

Many gas stations across the island have been shuttered for days as an unusually severe shortfall has left the nation nearly devoid of gasoline and diesel, stranding motorists and sprouting seemingly interminable lines at the pump in Havana.

"We have been waiting for a fuel truck to arrive for three days," said Armando Corrales from the driver's seat of his gray Kia SUV at a gas station in the capital. "People have slept here in line so they don't lose their spot."


Cuba: High prices, lines and shortages

DW Documentary is a German public broadcast service

In Cuba, the socialist project begun by revolutionary and former president Fidel Castro is teetering on the verge of failure. The nation is sinking deeper into crisis, with many people’s daily lives marred by shortages of food, medicine and electricity.

Cuba has been subject to sanctions for decades. Despite recent attempts at reform, the country is increasingly isolated and economically dependent. A currency reform enacted in 2021 is also causing major problems, with inflation soaring and prices skyrocketing. Food is scarce, and lines in front of the few state-run stores are getting longer and longer.

Poverty is on the rise. Even the famous ingenuity of the Cuban people is reaching its limits as they try to cope with the day-to-day effects of the crisis. Images of bygone revolutionaries are fading in the streets the capital, Havana, and all over the island. Official voices continue to broadcast the state’s ideology, but ordinary people are losing hope that things will improve.


Cuba restores power grid and resumes planned blackouts of about 5 hours a day

HAVANA (AP) — After a nationwide blackout left millions without electricity for several hours in Cuba, the power grid was restored Thursday, authorities said, adding that scheduled power outages will now resume.

The latest blackout, the third one of this severity in less than two months, occurred in the early hours of Wednesday, after a breakdown at a thermoelectric plant in Matanzas province, east of Havana. The incident triggered a chain reaction, overwhelming an already strained power system.


On Thursday, classes and work activities gradually returned to normal.

As for the scheduled power outages, Cuban authorities said they will continue their current practice of implementing daily, five-hour power outages by block or zone as they have been doing for the past few months.

On Oct. 18, the island suffered a significant blackout that, added to the passage of Hurricane Oscar two days later, left the island without electricity for several days.

Weeks later, Hurricane Rafael’s strong winds triggered another system-wide blackout that left the national energy system disconnected again.

Cuba’s power grid has been plagued by frequent outages in recent months, with more than half of the country experiencing power cuts during peak hours. The outages are primarily caused by fuel shortages and aging infrastructure. In many parts of the island, electricity is crucial for cooking and water pumping.